Which LIV Players Could Leave for the PGA Tour?
When LIV Golf emerged, it attracted top talent with unprecedented financial offers. While exact figures remain undisclosed, reports indicate deals exceeding $100 million, not accounting for subsequent prize money. These initial contracts spanned four years (2022-2026), prompting discussions about extensions or separations among LIV's elite players.
This transition phase is intriguing. Initial contracts featured substantial signing bonuses, now absent. Additionally, players' ages vary, with some aging gracefully. LIV's position is weak, having underperformed despite substantial investments.
Rory McIlroy noted, 'Many contracts are ending. Players will seek comparable or higher compensation. LIV must invest another $5-6 billion to maintain its current status.' McIlroy also confirmed that a PGA Tour-LIV partnership remains unlikely.
Will LIV retain its top players for 2027 and beyond? Which LIV players, seeking stability, might return to the PGA Tour soon?
Let's explore the top five LIV stars.
- Bryson DeChambeau
DeChambeau's contract, ending in 2026, reportedly valued at $125 million, is a strategic LIV investment, given his rising popularity. DeChambeau expressed enthusiasm for negotiations at year's end, confident in LIV's value and its potential to reshape golf.
He supports the team golf franchise model, citing TGL's success as a future golf evolution. DeChambeau's flexibility and less competitive environment have allowed him to excel in content creation while maintaining major competitiveness.
His strained relationship with Tour officials may deter a return, though a revised Tour schedule could entice him. An agreement with LIV in the next few months seems likely.
Likelihood of re-signing with LIV: 8/10
- Jon Rahm
Rahm's LIV contract extends beyond next year, but the Ryder Cup could influence his decision. LIV's decision to stop covering fines for DP World Tour events has led to Rahm's refusal to pay them. This could impact his DP World Tour membership and 2027 Ryder Cup eligibility.
Some question Rahm's fit in LIV due to his underperformance in majors post-departure. The situation remains uncertain.
Likelihood of re-signing with LIV: 6/10
- Brooks Koepka
Koepka is a significant wildcard for 2026. Speculation suggests he's less satisfied with LIV, possibly regretting his PGA Tour departure. Koepka's contract allows for flexibility, and he might not complete the final year.
Sports Business Journal's Josh Carpenter reports Koepka may skip the final year, forfeiting $20 million, to play DP World Tour events and majors. A 12-month Tour suspension in 2026 could make him eligible to return the following year.
LIV CEO Scott O'Neil's comments offer little clarity. Koepka's performance has declined, falling to No. 162 in Data Golf. A return to the Tour might be motivating.
Likelihood of re-signing with LIV: 2/10
- Dustin Johnson
Johnson is reportedly among the first to sign a second LIV contract, though no official announcement has been made. His irrelevance and lack of competitiveness for years make this a straightforward decision.
As a prominent figure and 4Aces captain, Johnson will likely continue his lucrative journey.
Likelihood of re-signing with LIV: 9/10
- Cameron Smith
Smith, 32, is in his prime, but his performance has declined since joining LIV after winning the 2022 Open Championship. He's fallen to No. 120 in Data Golf and missed major cuts. His major exemptions extend to 2028 due to The Open win.
Smith's commitment to LIV in 2027-2028 is likely, given its benefits to Australian golf. Family reasons also contributed to his LIV signing. However, his future post-2028 depends on the evolving pro golf landscape.
Likelihood of re-signing with LIV: 8/10
